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Hormuz Disruptions Push Panama Canal Close to Capacity as Energy Cargoes Surge

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May 23, 2026 • 0 Comments
Hormuz Disruptions Push Panama Canal Close to Capacity as Energy Cargoes Surge
Hormuz Disruptions Push Panama Canal Close to Capacity as Energy Cargoes Surge

The Panama Canal is operating near full capacity as global shipping patterns shift in response to ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, placing fresh pressure on one of the world’s most critical maritime trade routes.

Traffic through the canal has risen sharply in recent weeks, driven largely by increased shipments of crude oil, liquefied natural gas (LNG) and refined fuels from the United States to Asian markets. According to shipping association BIMCO, average daily vessel transits through the canal have climbed 8% year-on-year to around 38 ships a day, close to the canal’s operational limit of 36 to 40 transits. 

The increase follows growing instability around the Strait of Hormuz, a key energy chokepoint that handles a significant share of global oil and gas exports. Reduced shipping activity in the Gulf region and security concerns along Middle East trade routes have forced buyers to seek alternative energy supplies, particularly from the US Gulf Coast. 

The rerouting of cargoes has significantly increased demand for Panama Canal transit slots, especially among tanker operators. Canal authorities and shipping analysts say waiting times for vessels have increased by nearly 50% compared with last year, with average delays reaching close to two days. Auction prices for last-minute transit slots have also surged as operators compete for limited passage capacity. 

Container vessels, LPG carriers, oil tankers and dry bulk ships continue to account for the majority of canal traffic. However, energy carriers have emerged as the primary source of growth this year as trade flows adjust to geopolitical disruptions in West Asia. 

Shipping executives say the congestion reflects a broader restructuring of global supply chains, with cargoes increasingly moving along longer and less conventional routes. Some crude shipments that would normally move through the Gulf are now being redirected through the Atlantic Basin and across Panama toward Asia. 

The renewed strain on the Panama Canal also raises concerns over future capacity management. The waterway only recently recovered from severe drought conditions that forced transit restrictions during 2023 and 2024. Industry observers warn that another period of low rainfall or El Niño-related weather disruptions could tighten capacity further if elevated shipping demand continues. 

Analysts say the latest developments underline the growing vulnerability of global trade to disruptions at major maritime chokepoints, where geopolitical tensions in one region can quickly reshape shipping flows and logistics costs worldwide.

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